Every time a hurricane, wildfire, or flood makes headlines, there's a familiar debate that follows: how much of this is climate change, and how much is just stuff that happens? Trendency put it to our national panel and let people split 100 points between the two. The overall answer: basically a coin flip, 49-49. What's more interesting is where that split holds steady, and where it completely falls apart. Age and race turn out to barely matter here. Party affiliation, on the other hand, tells the story you'd expect. 

Key Takeaways:

👶👴Age and race barely move the needle. Every age bracket and racial group lands within a few points of the 49-49 overall split, whether you're 18 or 75+, Black, White, or Latino/Hispanic, suggesting this belief has little to do with demographic experience.

🔴🔵Party affiliation is the story, and it's about as predictable as it gets. Democrats allocate an average of 71 points on climate change while Republicans put just 24, a 47-point gap that dwarfs every other split in the data. Not exactly a shocker.

👨👩Gender shows a modest but real gap. Women lean slightly more toward blaming climate change (52) than men (45); a 7-point difference, but nowhere near the partisan chasm.